Sunday, November 19, 2006

Polls show race close as ever

New polls from the Angus Reid Global Monitor show Nicolas Sarkozy and Segolene Royal polling as close as ever. Assuming no rouge UMP candidates run against Sarkozy in the first round, Sarkozy would win with 34%, followed by Royal with 30% and Le Pen with 10%. This is a two point increase for Royal since October. The second round would then be the much vaunted Sarkozy-Royal matchup, and in both October and now November, each would receive 50% of the vote. Although the French and Americans like to exentuate their differences, it is ironic that both countries are so evenly split between a right and left candidate. Then again, comparatively speaking, Sarkozy is moderate Democrat and Royal is Barbara Boxer.

This poll was conducted by Ipsos/ Le Point before Royal's Socialist party victory, so we'll have to wait and see how much if anything extra her winning margin will give her in the first two runoffs.

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