Monday, February 19, 2007
In the last post I mentioned that the latest polls from late January said that UDF candidate Francois Bayrou would beat Segolene Royal in the second round, but lose narrowly to the UMP's Nicolas Sarkozy. Not any more.
In an IFOP poll taken from February 13 to 15, Francois Bayrou would beat Segolene Royal with 54%, and would also beat Nicolas Sarkozy with 52% if he faced either or them in the second round. He has also risen in the first round polls, up to 16%, but still below Royal's 25.5%. This information should be most worrying to Royal. Although she has trailed Sarkozy in the second round polls, it has always been assumed that she would get through the first round without too much difficulty. But with her campaign in shambles, the threat of another candidate at her heels will remove any luxury she had in the first round.
Ironically, Nicolas Sarkozy now must hope that Royal makes it into the second round, although I am ignorant of the actual implications of that in his campaign.
Technorati tags: Ségolène Royal, Segolene Royal, Nicolas Sarkozy, Bayrou, UMP, PS, politics, politique, présidentielle, actualité, news, France