The conservative US think tank The Heritage Foundation has a quite insightful analysis of Segolene Royal's foreign policy views and how that would bode for future Franco-American relations. In terms of the United States, the analysis is scathing:
It is difficult to imagine a Royal presidency being anything other than a recipe for tense transatlantic relations. Royal's damaging international trips, matched with her failure to mend fences in Washington, are a realistic indication of what a Washington-Paris axis would look like under a Royal presidency.
(...) The French Socialists are pushing an agenda in Europe that represents a strategic threat to the United States. The Royal vision for the European Union would make Brussels a rival to America, rather than a partner.
(...) as a committed Socialist and darling of the Left, Royal would steer a status quo course for French politics that would continue the disintegration of the Franco-American relationship and put even more distance between the Elysée Palace and the White House.
The writer does fall into slightly into the trap of hyperbole. There is no doubt that the beginning of a Royal presidency would not heal relations with Washington, but the possibility of a Democrat in the Oval Office in several years, plus Royal's apparent pragmitism with regards to key Washington issues like Israel and Iran, could eventually lead to some thawing.
The author may also be a bit guilty of pessimism. In late October she wrote a similar analysis of Nicolas Sarkozy, but still concluded on a rather uninspiring note:
...the United States should not expect an immediate sea change in French foreign policy if Sarkozy comes to power. He will face opposition from powerful vested interests in the French political establishment that will resist fundamental changes in Paris’s approach toward Washington. Sarkozy is also likely to stick to the trusted model of the Franco-German alliance and will push for more, not less, centralization of political power in Europe.
Technorati tags: Ségolène Royal, Segolene Royal, Nicolas Sarkozy, UMP, politics, politique, présidentielle, actualité, France